MUGHAL Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited

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MUGHAL Chart Illustration by CapitalMarkets
Financial Overview:
Mughal Iron & Steel Industries (MUGHAL) have a very good growth rate on its financials as 104.95% growth in sales, 76.39% in Gross Profits, 74.73% in Operating Profits, 84.56% in Net Profits and 70.59% in Earning per share was recorded on year on year bases in its annual reports for year ended 30th June 2015. While a growth rate of 89.38% in Sales, 60.91% in Gross profits and 11.59% in Net profits was reported in its quarterly report for quarter ended 31st March 2016 also a growth rate of 84.89%, in sales, 66.25% in Gross Profits and 55.05% in Net profits was recorded for nine months period ended 31st March 2016. Mughal also have ended its first year at stock market with a very positive note with net price growth rate of 107.06% on YOY bases. Material information released to SECP narrates that contracts awarded to Mughal will increase its local sales which are already very attractive and have a growth rate of 184.86% on yearly bases while it have a compound growth rate of 58.97% in its local sales during last five years.
Industry Overview:
 
The world all products composite steel price soared by 13.8 percent, in May - the largest month-on-month increase, in percentage terms, for more than a decade.
In May, global steel values advanced for the fifth month in a row as European and North American selling figures continued to surge, by 19.3 percent and 13 percent, respectively, compared with those in April.
Stainless steel producers around the world are trying to lift their selling prices, by more than any adjustment for raw material costs, after a long period of stable, very low figures. Basis values were stuck at a point very close to the mills’ breakeven levels for a long time. The steelmakers are now taking advantage of a combination of market factors to put forward price advances that will make their businesses more profitable.
Purchasing activity has increased, in several regions.BRIC steel prices continued to rise, in May, despite underlying demand, in these countries, remaining relatively unchanged. BRIC average transaction price advanced across all flat and long products, except for Wire Rod. Brazilian coil and plate values escalated, in May, as domestic mills hiked up prices. Domestic steel manufacturers, in Russia, secured double-digit percentage price increases, month-on-month, across all products, despite a muted trading environment. In India, flat product prices increased marginally, in May. Long product figures fell, month-on-month, amid the recent price volatility and impending monsoon season..
In North America, where there has been a slight upturn in real demand, local producers introduced cuts to their list price discounts – effectively, raising basis values – in January and March of this year. Following the announcement of an investigation into alleged dumping, customers are reluctant to buy Chinese steel. With the resultant tightening of supply and extended delivery lead times, the mills applied another increase, in May, and further increments are not ruled out.
Antidumping measures against Chinese and Taiwanese cold rolled coil have been in place, in the European Union, for some time. Although this has not yet had an inflationary effect on transaction values, it brought about a closer balance between supply and demand. Supported by more expensive import offers, local producers are expected to have some success in securing higher basis figures, in June.
Sector Compitators
Symbol Name Price Capital
ASTL Amreli Steels Ltd 50.21 14912.94
CASP Crescent Steel & Allied 128.45 9971.89
ISL Inter.Steel Ltd 38.1 16573.5
DSL Dost Steels Ltd. 16.64 1122.61
Current Price=70.25
Target Price= 99.05
Profitability Analysis
Grade Current 5 Yr Avg
Return on Equity % 19.81 15.23
Return on Assets % 6.29 3.82
Fixed Assets Return % 21.95 10.18
Gross Margin % 10.49 9.85
Operating Margin % 8.78 8.00
Net Margin % 5.89 3.99
Key Statistics
Current Price 70.25 Rs
Outstanding Shares 125.80 Mln
Free Float 30.49 Mln
Market Capitalization 8931.79 Mln
KSE ALLSHR Weightage % 0.12%
Growth Rates (Compound Annual)
Disc 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr
Sales % 104.95 32.41 45.51
Revenue % 76.39 50.17 36.93
Net Profit % 84.56 70.09 76.85
Eearning /Share % 70.59 66.89 41.73
Price Return % 107.6 -- --
Financial Ratios(based on Annual 2015)
Price Earning P/E 8.65 X
Current Ratio 1.2 X
Return on Equity ROE 19.81 %
Return on Assets ROA 6.29 %
Total Assets Turnover 1.07 X
Price Statistics
History High 88.95
History Low 35.70
52 Weeks High 88.95
52 Weeks Low 49.30
 
 
Investment Summary
A Price increament of around 36-41% is expected in MUGHAL in coming months as world Steel prices have strated increasing since start of this year and MUGHAL will be ultimate beneficiery in Pakistan. Local Steel price portray a very gloomey picture but considering international scenarios as well an increament of 30-33% in sales, around 35% in Gross profits, 40-45% in Net profits and around 50% in local sales is expected.
Technical Chart of Historical prices of MUGHAL indicates that a bullish rally towards 88 and 99 Rs/share is expected in coming months as MUGHAL will complete its weekly 61.8% correction around 66 Rs from where new buying could be initiated in it with targets at 88 and 99 Rs/share
 
Investment Risks
Chinese production is becoming a threat to Global steel prices as Chinese mill offers, both at home and overseas, continued their upward trajectory in late April but domestic transaction prices started to fall spectacularly, in early May, as local manufacturers ramped up production.
China’s National Bureau of Statistics confirmed that domestic crude steel production has been rising, since March, on a year-on-year basis.It is widely accepted that underlying demand, in China and worldwide, remains broadly unchanged. Therefore, supply-side factors have been the main driving force behind the rapid rise in global steel values. Any positive production news from China could drive Steel prices in negative direction while will ultimately become a threat for MUGHAL prices as well.Price slippage below 56.05 Rs/ share will generate a caution call for MUGHAL as next supportive region would be 47.00 Rs/share.
 
Annual Financial Results
Financial Statements for last 5 years *figures in millions unless mentioned

Year

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Sales

12241.272

5972.673

3928.514

3657.422

3006.891

Gross profit

1284.106

727.977

374.54

298.519

266.771

Profit from Operations

1075.01

615.23

276.84

244.41

216.77

Profit before taxation

724.978

397.63

124.565

109.011

65.465

Provision for taxation

-3.616

-6.77

3.096

-2.115

-23.76

Profit after taxation

721.361

390.86

127.661

106.896

41.705

Fixed assets

3285.942

2865.375

2423.557

1834.918

995.384

Current assets

8163.677

4189.339

1524.511

2182.269

1941.406

Total Assets

11469.63

7073.72

3969.02

4033.95

2976.01

Current liabilities

6811.927

3618.325

1520.279

2123.833

1967.245

Net working capital

14975.604

7807.664

3044.79

4306.102

3908.651

Capital employed

4657.703

3455.396

2448.739

1910.12

1008.766

Shareholders’ equity

3641.544

1803.026

948.509

734.194

627.308

Earning/Share Rs

8.12

4.76

1.72

1.46

1.42

 
Category of Share holders Details
Details Shares %
Directors 82041153.00 74.99
General public Local 13715697.00 12.54
Others 7709572.00 7.05
Mutual Funds 4680200.00 4.28
Banks & Financial Institutions 710000.00 0.65
General public Foreign 505531.00 0.46
Insurance Companies 29000.00 0.03
 
 

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